Stars vs. Flames Prediction & Picks - Nov. 22

Philadelphia Flyers v Dallas Stars

Photo: Stacy Revere / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Dallas Stars (13-5-3, second in the Western Conference) square off against an opponent at the opposite end of the standings, the Calgary Flames (6-13-3, 16th in the Western Conference), on Saturday, Nov. 22 at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Prepare for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will win the game in Saturday's hockey action.

The Flames are 4-5-1 over the past 10 contests, putting up 24 total goals (two power-play goals on 24 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 8.3%). They have conceded 22 goals to their opponents.

Stars vs. Flames Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this encounter calls for a final score of Stars 4, Flames 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Stars (-154)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Flames (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars have finished 3-3-6 in overtime matchups on their way to an overall record of 13-5-3.
  • In the 10 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 7-1-2 record (good for 16 points).
  • Looking at the four times this season the Stars finished a game with only one goal, they have a 1-2-1 record, good for three points.
  • Dallas has scored a pair of goals in three games this season (1-1-1 record, three points).
  • The Stars have scored three or more goals in 14 games (11-2-1, 23 points).
  • In the nine games when Dallas has recorded a single power-play goal, it won every time (18 points).
  • In games when it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 7-3-1 (15 points).
  • The Stars have been outshot by opponents 10 times, and went 6-2-2 (14 points).

Flames Splits and Trends

  • The Flames have posted a record of 1-3-4 in overtime games on their way to an overall mark of 6-13-3.
  • In the five games Calgary has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up three points.
  • This season the Flames scored just one goal in five games and they finished 0-4-1 in those matchups.
  • Calgary has four points (2-5-0) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
  • The Flames have scored three or more goals in eight games, earning 10 points from those contests.
  • This season, Calgary has scored a lone power-play goal in seven games has a record of 1-5-1 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Calgary is 3-7-2 (eight points).
  • The Flames have been outshot by opponents 10 times this season, and earned seven points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank Stars AVG Flames AVG Flames Rank
11th 3.24 Goals Scored 2.27 32nd
10th 2.76 Goals Allowed 3.05 17th
27th 25.6 Shots 29.7 5th
15th 27.6 Shots Allowed 28.5 20th
2nd 30.99% Power Play % 12.50% 31st
24th 76.56% Penalty Kill % 79.45% 17th

Stars vs. Flames Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta

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