Stars vs. Jets Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs Second Round Game 3

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The Dallas Stars and Winnipeg Jets face off in Game 3 of the NHL Playoffs Second Round at American Airlines Center on Sunday, May 11, starting at 4:30 p.m. ET on TBS. The teams are tied 1-1 in the series. Oddsmakers give the Stars -148 odds on the moneyline in this matchup against the Jets (+123).

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Get ready for this NHL Playoffs Second Round matchup with a glimpse at who we predict will emerge with the victory.

Stars vs. Jets Predictions for Sunday

Our computer model for this matchup calls for a final result of Stars 4, Jets 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Stars (-148)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Jets (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars have finished 11-6-17 in overtime contests on their way to an overall record of 50-26-6.
  • In the 29 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 18-7-4 record (good for 40 points).
  • In the 10 games this season the Stars registered only one goal, they've finished 1-9-0 (two points).
  • Dallas has finished 7-8-3 in the 18 games this season when it scored two goals (registering 17 points).
  • The Stars have scored three or more goals 60 times, and are 47-10-3 in those games (to record 97 points).
  • In the 33 games when Dallas has scored a single power-play goal, it went 24-8-1 to record 49 points.
  • In the 36 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 22-13-1 (45 points).
  • The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 51 games. The Stars finished 31-15-5 in those contests (67 points).

Jets Splits and Trends

  • The Jets have a record of 56-22-4 this season and are 14-4-18 in overtime matchups.
  • In the 27 games Winnipeg has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 41 points.
  • Across the 15 games this season the Jets ended with only one goal, they have earned four points.
  • When Winnipeg has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned 15 points (7-10-1 record).
  • The Jets have scored more than two goals 57 times, earning 107 points from those matchups (53-3-1).
  • This season, Winnipeg has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 34 games has a record of 26-7-1 in those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Winnipeg has posted a record of 41-5-1 (83 points).
  • The Jets' opponents have had more shots in 43 games. The Jets went 19-21-3 in those contests (41 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank Stars AVG Jets AVG Jets Rank
3rd 3.35 Goals Scored 3.35 3rd
6th 2.71 Goals Allowed 2.32 1st
13th 28.4 Shots 28.2 16th
23rd 29 Shots Allowed 27.2 10th
17th 22% Power Play % 28.9% 1st
4th 82.02% Penalty Kill % 79.4% 13th

Stars vs. Jets Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 4:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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